Prediction market odds on Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Traders have put $18 302 037 behind this question. The table shows what each outcome is priced at right now — a price of 100 % means the market treats «Warner Bros. Discovery» as that likely, not that it is settled.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Warner Bros. Discovery | 100 % | 6 103 |
| iRobot | 100 % | 3 320 |
| Pizza Hut | 100 % | 613 058 |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc. | 100 % | 62 444 |
| Cursor | 100 % | 69 247 |
| PayPal | 12.5 % | 110 357 |
| Viking Therapeutics | 12 % | 1 710 879 |
| Brown-Forman | 8.5 % | 7 443 |
| Zoom Video Communications | 6.6 % | 430 335 |
| MGM Resorts | 6.5 % | 40 565 |
| Perplexity AI | 6.5 % | 2 400 213 |
| Snapchat | 6.2 % | 148 481 |
| GitLab | 5.7 % | 1 191 565 |
| Lovable | 3.6 % | 984 358 |
| BP | 3 % | 1 063 722 |
| Ubisoft | 2.9 % | 630 757 |
| Nebius Group | 2.6 % | 7 960 068 |
| Anthropic | 2.1 % | 195 653 |
| OpenAI | 1.6 % | 673 468 |
What these numbers say
This is a close one. «Warner Bros. Discovery» is ahead at 100 %, 0 points over second — within the range that a week of news routinely swings.
19 outcomes are priced on this event, and the top three hold only 3 % of the money. That is a field without a consensus favourite — the betting is spread across the board rather than concentrated on one name.
Some $18 302 037 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
The market closes 2027-01-01. Prices move most in the days right before that, when the outcome stops being a forecast and starts being a fact.
Read the percentages as the market's own odds, not as our prediction. A 70 % outcome is expected to lose three times in ten — if it never did, the price would not be 70 %.
How this market settles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Quoted from the market rules.
Rules are one half of the picture and terms are the other. Look at what a platform charges before you move any money.
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