Events
Event odds
40 questions the market is pricing right now. A price is what people are paying, not a forecast — that difference is the whole point of the section.
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 20281 284 810 732 EUR · Closes 2028-11-08
- Presidential Election Winner 2028709 078 403 EUR · Closes 2029-01-21
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028707 973 506 EUR · Closes 2028-11-08
- Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?286 057 008 EUR · Closes 2029-01-01
- Brazil Presidential Election154 958 505 EUR · Closes 2026-10-04
- Next French Presidential Election137 692 732 EUR · Closes 2027-04-18
- Netanyahu out by when?124 417 102 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?97 613 685 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by when?74 274 930 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by when?70 335 421 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?68 786 890 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?53 383 594 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?42 806 641 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- California Governor Election Winner41 321 077 EUR · Closes 2026-11-04
- Iran leader end of 2026?39 577 007 EUR · Closes 2026-12-31
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?38 978 248 EUR · Closes 2026-10-27
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?35 571 766 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by when?31 727 593 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?31 550 621 EUR · Closes 2026-12-31
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by when?29 481 770 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?26 282 865 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Iran leadership change by when?26 089 051 EUR · Closes 2027-07-01
- Putin out as President of Russia by when?25 668 531 EUR · Closes 2027-07-01
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 202624 940 977 EUR · Closes 2027-04-01
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by when?22 123 671 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?18 302 037 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by when?18 176 091 EUR · Closes 2026-06-15
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by when?17 943 479 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by when?15 267 497 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Los Angeles Mayoral Election14 301 212 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by when?14 197 209 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms13 965 949 EUR · Closes 2027-01-05
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?13 927 999 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Fed Decision in October?13 576 850 EUR · Closes 2026-10-29
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?12 849 034 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Which party will win the House in 2026?12 246 236 EUR · Closes 2027-01-05
- Trump out as President before 2027?11 882 273 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?11 767 475 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?10 861 241 EUR · Closes 2027-01-01
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?9 801 312 EUR · Closes 2026-10-01